IACS Rec. No. 34 Rev. 2新海浪环境下CSR船型极限强度可靠度和分项安全因子优化研究

Study on ultimate strength reliability and partial safety factor calibration for CSR ships under new IACS Rec. 34 Rev. 2 wave environment

  • 摘要: 【目的】针对国际船级社协会(IACS)于2022年发布的新海浪资料Rec. No.34 Rev. 2,研究其对船体梁极限强度可靠性和分项安全因子的影响。【方法】选取36艘CSR型样本船,修正新海浪环境下的波浪弯矩极值预报公式,建立新海浪环境下的船体梁极限强度可靠性分析方法,采用改进的一次二阶矩法(IFOSM),计算并对比新旧海浪环境下的船体梁失效概率指标Pf,同时优化垂向波浪弯矩分项安全因子γW。【结果】相比旧海浪环境,Rev. 2下样本船失效概率平均降低5×10-4;目标可靠度下样本船垂向波浪弯矩分项安全因子平均值变化率为-10.13%;所有样本船中垂和中拱状态下γW优化值为1.054。【结论】研究结果可为新海浪环境下船舶结构设计和相关标准的更新提供参考依据。

     

    Abstract: Objectives This study investigates the impact of the new ocean wave data, IACS Rec. 34 Rev. 2 (released in 2022), on the hull girder ultimate strength reliability and partial safety factors. Methods A database of 36 CSR sample ships was established to fit the extreme wave bending moment prediction formulas under the new ocean wave environment. A hull girder reliability analysis method tailored for the updated wave environment was developed, utilizing the Improved First-Order Second-Moment (IFOSM) method to calculate and compare the failure probabilities (Pf) under both the original and revised wave environment. Concurrently, the partial safety factor for vertical wave bending moment (γW) was optimized. Results The average failure probability of the sample ships under Rev. 2 decreased by 5×10-4 compared to the original environment. At the target reliability level, the average variation rates of partial safety factors for vertical wave bending moment was -10.13%, respectively. The optimized value of γW for all sample ships in both sagging and hogging conditions was determined to be 1.054.Conclusions The research findings provide a quantitative technical basis for the update of ship structural design standards and relevant calibrations under the new ocean wave environment.

     

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