智能网联汽车发展态势及对船舶智能化的启示

Development Trends of Intelligent Connected Vehicles and Implications for Intelligent Ships

  • 摘要: 当前,汽车产业正经历百年未有之深刻变革,智能化与网联化的协同演进不仅是技术形态的迭代,更是关乎国家产业竞争力、交通系统重构与社会运行效率的战略议题。本文以系统工程方法为主线,系统梳理了智能网联汽车(ICV)在电子电气架构、研发范式、安全体系等六个维度的深刻变革,并从信息物理系统(CPS)理论视角深入阐释“车路云一体化”的技术内涵与架构逻辑。研究与实践双重表明:沿单车智能路线的线性延伸,在物理感知极限、算力成本效益与安全长尾效应等方面存在难以逾越的系统性瓶颈;数据驱动与网联协同的深度融合,是突破上述瓶颈的必由之路,也是下一代智能驾驶的核心演进方向。在此基础上,本文提出云控、地图、终端、计算、安全五类基础平台的建设路径,为产业规模化应用与开放生态构建提供系统性参考框架。汽车与船舶同属典型的智能移动平台,上述技术演进规律与系统架构思路,或可为船舶智能化领域的研究与工程实践提供一定的参考与借鉴。

     

    Abstract: The global automotive industry is undergoing a once-in-a-century transformation, in which the convergence of intelligence and connectivity represents not merely a technological iteration but a strategic imperative with profound implications for national industrial competitiveness, transportation system restructuring, and societal efficiency. Using systems engineering as the methodological foundation, this paper systematically examines six dimensions of transformative change in intelligent connected vehicles (ICVs), encompassing electronic/electrical architecture, development paradigms, and safety frameworks, and provides an in-depth analysis of the Vehicle-Road-Cloud Integration architecture from a cyber-physical systems (CPS) theoretical perspective. Converging evidence from both research and practice demonstrates that the linear extension of vehicle-only intelligence confronts insurmountable systemic bottlenecks in physical perception limits, diminishing returns of computing costs, and persistent long-tail safety effects. The deep integration of data-driven methods with networked collaboration thus represents not only the essential pathway to overcome these constraints, but also the fundamental direction for next-generation intelligent driving. Building on this analysis, the paper proposes a systematic framework of five foundational platforms—cloud control, high-precision mapping, on-board terminals, computing infrastructure, and cybersecurity—to support large-scale industrial deployment and open ecosystem development. As both automobiles and ships represent typical intelligent mobile platforms, the technological evolution patterns and system architecture insights discussed herein may offer useful reference for research and engineering practice in the field of ship intelligentization.

     

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