基于模糊自适应权重的舰船锂电池ACKF-PatchTST协同SOC估计

Collaborative SOC Estimation of Shipborne Lithium Batteries Using ACKF-PatchTST with Fuzzy Adaptive Weights

  • 摘要:目的】针对全电船舶动力电池在长航时任务中,单一物理模型难以适应复杂推进工况及老化非线性特征,而数据驱动方法受限于艇载BMS边缘计算资源的问题,本文提出一种基于模糊自适应权重的船岸协同SOC估计框架。【方法】在船端(边缘)采用二阶RC等效电路模型,结合粒子群优化(PSO)算法进行参数辨识,并利用自适应容积卡尔曼滤波(ACKF)实现低算力消耗的实时状态跟踪;在岸基(云端)部署基于Transformer架构的PatchTST深度学习模型,利用其Patching机制和通道独立策略捕捉长序列运行数据中的非线性与老化趋势。设计了模糊逻辑控制器,以电压残差和电流变化率为输入,动态调整船岸融合权重,实现优势互补。【结果】基于CALCE数据集模拟舰船复杂机动负载工况的实验表明,该协同方法有效克服了物理模型在低SOC区域和剧烈波动工况下的失效问题以及老化参数失配问题。与单一艇载ACKF方法相比,协同估计的均方根误差(RMSE)降低了29.44%,平均绝对误差(MAE)降低了35.71%;且在初始误差为30%的极端情况下,收敛时间从153 s缩短至13 s,显著提升了系统的鲁棒性与收敛速度。【结论】该架构为实现船岸一体化的高精度状态估计、远程离群故障诊断及参数在线视情运维提供了有效的技术路径。

     

    Abstract: Objectives Single physical models struggle to adapt to complex propulsion profiles and nonlinear aging characteristics of power batteries in all-electric ships during long-endurance missions. Meanwhile, the data-driven approach is limited by the issue of the limited computing resources available on the onboard BMS.. To address these issues, this paper proposes a ship-shore collaborative State of Charge (SOC) estimation framework based on fuzzy adaptive weights. Methods A second-order RC equivalent circuit model is adopted at the end (edge) of the ship, combined with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for parameter identification and an Adaptive Cubature Kalman Filter (ACKF) for low-complexity real-time state tracking. At the shore-side (cloud), a Transformer-based PatchTST deep learning model is deployed, utilizing its patching mechanism and channel-independence strategy to capture nonlinear features and aging trends from long-sequence operational data. A fuzzy logic controller is designed to dynamically adjust the fusion weights between the ship and shore estimations, using voltage residuals and current change rates as inputs. Results Experiments based on the CALCE dataset, simulating complex ship maneuvering load profiles, demonstrate that the collaborative method effectively overcomes the limitations of physical models in low SOC regions and under drastically fluctuating conditions and the issue of aging parameter mismatch. Compared with the standalone shipborne ACKF method, the collaborative estimation reduces the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 29.44% and the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) by 35.71%. Furthermore, under an extreme initial error of 30%, the convergence time is shortened from 153 s to 13 s, significantly enhancing system robustness and convergence speed. Conclusions This architecture provides an effective technical pathway for achieving high-precision ship-shore integrated state estimation, remote outlier fault diagnosis, and online parameter Condition-Based Maintenance (CBM).

     

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