余耀辉, 刘溯扬, 王子豪, 谢文博, 彭艳. 基于误差监测机制的船舶操纵运动自适应在线建模[J]. 中国舰船研究. DOI: 10.19693/j.issn.1673-3185.04019
引用本文: 余耀辉, 刘溯扬, 王子豪, 谢文博, 彭艳. 基于误差监测机制的船舶操纵运动自适应在线建模[J]. 中国舰船研究. DOI: 10.19693/j.issn.1673-3185.04019
Adaptive Online Modeling of Ship Maneuvering Motion Based on Error Monitoring[J]. Chinese Journal of Ship Research. DOI: 10.19693/j.issn.1673-3185.04019
Citation: Adaptive Online Modeling of Ship Maneuvering Motion Based on Error Monitoring[J]. Chinese Journal of Ship Research. DOI: 10.19693/j.issn.1673-3185.04019

基于误差监测机制的船舶操纵运动自适应在线建模

Adaptive Online Modeling of Ship Maneuvering Motion Based on Error Monitoring

  • 摘要: 【目的】针对实际航行中船舶动态特性变化所导致的模型失准问题,提出一种基于误差监测机制的船舶操纵运动自适应在线建模方法。【方法】该方法通过模型预测误差监测机制判断模型更新时机,结合滑动窗口技术和支持向量机,基于航行数据实现模型的自适应重训练更新。以KCS集装箱船为研究对象,在变航速的Z形和回转运动场景下对方法进行了测试验证,并分析了误差监测机制中的超参数选取对在线建模的影响。【结果】仿真结果表明,误差检测机制能够降低模型在线更新频率,节约计算资源。相较于离线方法,该方法在船舶动态特性变化时能够及时更新模型,保障了预测精度。【结论】所提出方法适用于船舶自身属性、环境变化等引发的动力学特性变化场景,为船舶运动在线建模与预报提供技术方法,具有实际的工程意义。

     

    Abstract: Objectives Aiming to address the problem of model inaccuracy caused by ship dynamic changes during actual navigation, this study proposes an adaptive online modelling method for ship manoeuvring motion based on an error monitoring mechanism. Methods The method determines the timing of model update through the model prediction error monitoring mechanism, and realizes adaptive retraining update of the model based on voyage data by combining the sliding window technique and support vector machine. Taking the KCS container ship as the research object, the method is tested and validated under the zigzag and turning circle motion scenarios with variable speed, and the influence of the hyperparameter selection in the error monitoring mechanism on the online modeling is analyzed. Results The simulation results show that the error detection mechanism can effectively reduce the frequency of online model update and save computational resources. Compared with the offline method, this method can update the model in time when the dynamic characteristics of the ship change, which guarantees the prediction accuracy. Conclusions The proposed method is applicable to scenarios where the dynamic characteristics of ships change due to their own attributes, environmental changes, etc. It provides a technical method for online modeling and prediction of ship motion and has practical engineering significance.

     

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